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Sports Betting

France Topped World Cup Betting as Pre-Match Wagers Held 63% of Turnover, DATA.BET Finds

Antonina TupikovaBy Antonina Tupikova · Founder, iGaming Times2 min read

A post-tournament review from B2B supplier DATA.BET offers one of the first detailed reads on how the first 48-team World Cup was actually bet: France drew the most interest, in-play held a steady share, and the knockout rounds outweighed a much larger group stage.

  • Pre-match betting accounted for 63% of total turnover across the tournament, with in-play markets holding a steady 37%, according to sportsbook-data supplier DATA.BET
  • France led all national teams by stake, ahead of Spain, Argentina, England and Belgium, a top five that together drew 36.5% of total stake
  • Statistical markets made up more than 11% of turnover, with Corners Total the single most popular stat market, ranking 10th overall by stake
  • The group stage generated more than 33% more bets than the play-offs but delivered almost identical turnover, as average play-off stakes ran 28% higher
  • The 2026 World Cup drew 6.8 million attendances across 104 matches in the United States, Canada and Mexico

The First Full Read on How the Expanded World Cup Was Actually Bet

DATA.BET, a business-to-business sportsbook data and platform supplier, has published a review of betting activity across the 2026 FIFA World Cup, in coverage carried on 26 July. It is one of the first detailed breakdowns of how customers wagered on the first 48-team, 104-match edition of the tournament, and it lands as operators and suppliers take stock of a competition that reshaped summer betting volumes worldwide.

The headline structural finding is how little the balance between bet types moved. According to DATA.BET, pre-match betting accounted for 63% of total turnover, with live, in-play markets holding a 37% share, and that split stayed close to constant across the six weeks of the tournament. The stability matters because live betting is where operators have invested most heavily in pricing technology, yet the data suggests punters still placed most of their money before kick-off.

Statistical markets, a fast-growing category priced off in-game data feeds rather than match results, made up more than 11% of total turnover, according to the supplier. Corners Total was the single most popular statistical market, ranking 10th overall by stake across every market offered, an indication that granular, data-driven bet types have moved from novelty to mainstream at a flagship event.

On team interest, France led all national sides by stake, with Spain, Argentina, England and Belgium completing a top five that together drew 36.5% of total stake, DATA.BET said. The concentration underlines how heavily World Cup betting clusters around a small group of traditional powers, even in an expanded field of 48 teams.

The tournament itself drew a combined 6.8 million attendances across 104 matches in the three host nations, the United States, Canada and Mexico. DATA.BET also noted that combined betting turnover across the World Cup and the Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026, a major esports event running in the same window, split 58.5% to 41.5% in favour of the football.

The Knockout Rounds, Not the Group Stage, Are Where the Money Concentrates

The most useful figure for anyone planning around the next major tournament is the gap between activity and value. The group stage generated more than 33% more individual bets than the play-off rounds, yet delivered almost identical turnover and attracted virtually the same number of unique bettors as the knockout phase, according to DATA.BET. Average stakes were 28% higher in the play-offs, and the semi-finals and final produced the highest turnover of any stage. In other words, the expanded group stage adds a great deal of low-value betting volume, but the real money still lands late. For operators weighing marketing and trading resource, that argues for front-loading acquisition earlier but reserving margin-management attention for the closing rounds, where stakes and exposure are largest.

Pre-Match Dominance Is a Quiet Counterpoint to the Prediction-Market Surge

The 63% pre-match share is worth reading against the other big story of this World Cup, the explosive growth of prediction markets such as Kalshi and Polymarket. Those platforms are built around exactly the kind of pre-event, outcome-based positions, on winners and long-run results, that DATA.BET's data shows still dominate traditional sportsbook turnover. A betting public that continues to favour pre-match wagers is, in principle, the audience prediction markets are best placed to convert, which helps explain why regulated operators have raced to launch their own event-contract products. The counter-reading is that live betting's steady 37% is a product prediction markets do not replicate well, and it may prove the more defensible ground for licensed sportsbooks. Either way, a single tournament's data cannot settle a structural contest that is still being fought in courtrooms and Congress. It can, though, tell operators where the value actually sat, and this time it sat late, and mostly before kick-off.

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