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Polymarket

Polymarket

Polymarket is a prediction market platform on which users trade binary contracts on the outcomes of political, economic, sporting, cultural and other events, with prices expressing the market's probability of each outcome. Founded in 2020 and headquartered in New York, it runs its markets on blockchain infrastructure settled in dollar-pegged stablecoins and became the most-traded prediction market during the 2024 US election. Polymarket was barred from serving US users under a 2022 settlement with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and in 2025 acquired a CFTC-registered exchange and clearinghouse to re-enter the US market under federal regulation. It has raised venture capital at a multi-billion-dollar valuation.

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Polymarket at a glance

Stories
24
Last covered
November 2026
Coverage since
October 2026
Segment
Platform

Latest coverage

Sydney Harbour and the Opera House at dusk
Prediction Markets

ASIC Says Prediction Markets Have All the Features of a Bet

Australia's financial regulator has told platforms that a retail prediction market is unlikely to pass its public interest test for a market licence. Offshore users and the licensees who route them there have been put on notice.

Aerial view of the Arc de Triomphe and the Étoile in Paris
Prediction Markets

Ballon d'Or Owner Moves to Court Over Polymarket Bets That Called the Top Five

Twelve new Polymarket accounts bet about $264,000 on the exact 2026 Ballon d'Or top five before the ceremony and made close to $200,000, according to the French outlet Upside. Groupe Amaury, which owns France Football, says it is filing a complaint over suspected leaks and potentially fraudulent bets.

The US Capitol dome with the American flag flying against a blue sky
Prediction Markets

Warren and Curtis Press Kalshi and Polymarket on Election Insider Trading

Two senators, one from each party, have asked the two largest US prediction markets to show how they keep insiders and manipulators out of election contracts, with answers due on the day of the midterms. The letter argues that catching a handful of candidates is not proof the markets are protected.

The Kalshi logo on a smartphone screen lit in blue
Prediction Markets

Kalshi Raises $1bn at a $40bn Valuation in the Week Utah Charged Its Founders

Kalshi has almost doubled its valuation in under six months with a $1 billion Series G co-led by Wellington and Sequoia. The round was announced a day after Utah filed felony charges against the exchange and both co-founders, and the company's pitch to investors leans on its business beyond sport.

The Detroit skyline at dusk seen from above, with downtown towers under an orange sky
Prediction Markets

Polymarket Agrees to Close Michigan Sports Contracts While It Fights Ohio

Polymarket US has become the fourth prediction market to stand down on sports in Michigan, under a stipulation approved in the federal court that refused it an injunction in June. It is conceding a state where its appeal sits before the circuit that has already ruled against Kalshi, while it carries its fight to Ohio and Louisiana.

An empty wood-panelled courtroom with the judge's bench lit by afternoon sun through the windows
Prediction Markets

Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com Sue Three More States Before They Can Be Sued

Kalshi has sued Missouri, Polymarket has sued Louisiana and Crypto.com's exchange has sued Utah, all in federal court and none of them yet the target of a state lawsuit. The filings are a race for the forum, because once a state sues first in its own courts, pre-emption becomes a defence rather than a route into federal court.

The Palácio do Planalto, seat of Brazil's presidency in Brasília, lit at night and reflected in its pool
Regulatory

Lula Wins With 51.79% and Leaves Brazil's Betting Ban to Congress and the STF

President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Sunday's run-off on the day Brazil's federal betting licences expired, ending the industry's hope that a new government would withdraw the ban. What happens next rests with a Congress that has still not installed the committee due to report on the measure by 23 November, and with a Supreme Court justice who held his ruling until the vote was over.

The Columbus, Ohio skyline reflected in the Scioto River at dusk
Prediction Markets

Ohio Gives Its Gaming Licensees Until 30 October to Stop Serving Prediction Markets

The Ohio Casino Control Commission has told every sportsbook, supplier, integrity monitor and testing laboratory it licenses to stop providing services "of any kind" to platforms offering sports event contracts in Ohio, or face reopened suitability investigations. With its cease-and-desist letters to the exchanges now challenged in court, Ohio is turning to the companies that keep them running.

The dome of the United States Capitol in Washington
Prediction Markets

Ted Cruz Plans a Bill to Put Sports Prediction Contracts Under State and Tribal Control

The Senate Commerce Committee chairman intends to file legislation after the 3 November midterms that would bar gambling-linked event contracts, sports included, unless a state or tribe authorises them, Bloomberg Law reports. No text, bill number or co-sponsor is public yet, and the window before this Congress ends is short.

The Gateway Arch in St Louis
Prediction Markets

Crypto.com and Novig Sue Missouri as Hanaway's 30-Day Deadline Runs Out

Two of the six prediction market operators Missouri ordered to stop offering sports event contracts went to federal court on Friday rather than comply. Both cases sit in the Eighth Circuit, which has yet to decide the question that has already split three other appeals courts.

A judge in a black robe signs a document at a wooden desk, with a gavel, a microphone and a glass of water beside her
Prediction Markets

Federal Magistrate Recommends Sending Kentucky's Polymarket and Kalshi Suits Back to State Court

A magistrate judge has recommended that Kentucky's gambling suit against Polymarket go back to the state court where it was filed, leaning on the Sixth Circuit's September ruling against Kalshi, and the same is reported in the Kalshi case. If the district judges agree, a Kentucky judge will hear the state's claims for injunctions, penalties and treble damages.

Six white wooden letter blocks spelling GOOGLE stand in a row on a plain pale grey surface
Prediction Markets

Google Bars Prediction Market Ads in Connecticut, the Fifth US State It Has Shut Out

Google has added Connecticut to the US states where certified prediction markets may not advertise, the fifth exclusion since it opened the category in January, and has written a pointer to its prediction market rules into the main body of its gambling policy. Each of Google's notices has taken effect the day it was posted, and none gives a reason.

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